In the current COVID-19 climate, one thing’s for sure: no one knows what the fuck is going to happen.
Trying to project what happens in Costa Rica is no different. Seven weeks remain in the season. Any wild scenario is plausible after a two-month hiatus. Below are five of the most probable ones.
Saprissa Drops Points in Santos
Oddly enough, Herediano and Alajuelense aren’t the two fixtures Saprissa should fear the most. It’s away to Santos de Guapiles.
Since 2019, Los Morados are 2-2-1 against Santos. The positive results all came at home. Two inexplicable losses—with nine goals conceded—were away. The Estadio Ebal Rodriguez has become a house of horrors for Saprissa.
The current 19 point disparity between the two clubs isn’t a positive, either. That disparity dropped Santos into a relegation battle with Grecia and La U. Every match from here to the end of the season is the difference between survival and relegation.
It’s the perfect recipe for Saprissa to drop points in Jornada 17.
Marcelo Hernandez Finishes Top Goalscorer
Christian Bolaños is having one of the best seasons of his career. At 35 years young, Bolaños leads the league with 12 goals.
It just won’t be enough to finish with the golden boot.
Attacking midfielders and wingers don’t typically finish with the award. You have to go all the way back to the summer of 2012 to find the last one. Jose Carlos Cancela—then with Herediano—finished with 10 goals. Even then he finished tied with Cristhian Lagos.
From Jonathan McDonald to Alvaro Saborio, the golden boot historically belongs to true center forwards. Just three goals behind Bolaños, Marcel Hernandez fits the bill. If Cartagines have any chance of qualifying for the Cuadrangular, they’ll need every inch of his six-foot frame to carry the load.
San Carlos Doesn’t Finish in the Top 4
Despite being two points out of the fourth and final playoff spot, San Carlos remains one of the favorites to qualify. That’s because of the quality on paper.
Unfortunately for San Carlos, that quality hasn’t translated on the field.
The last time the club won consecutive matches was in late January. Draws, losses and the sporadic win have kept Los Toros afloat, but it won’t be enough to secure qualification. That achievement will belong to one of Jicaral or Cartagines.
Relegation Goes Down to the Final Day
La U are six points from safety with seven matches to play. That would spell disaster for any club. Luckily for Los Universitarios, Grecia is just as much a shit show as them.
The only salvageable point Grecia has on its schedule is its restart match with Perez Zeledon. After two months off, it’s difficult to foresee three points for anyone in the league, let alone the bottom dwellers. Grecia will carry one point into the final Jornada (37 total), allowing La U to scrape together four additional points through six games (34 total).
Entering the last round of the season, Grecia will lose to San Carlos. La U will upset a resting Saprissa.
Tied on 37 points, Grecia survives thanks to the goal-differential tiebreaker.
The Season Finishes in its Entirety
Call this wishful thinking, but the season will see its end before July 1.
COVID-19 remains the unpredictable variable, but the situation has seen vast improvements in Costa Rica. Daily cases spiked to 37 back on Apr. 9. They’ve remained well below that since then.
With the remaining games behind closed doors and the government taking serious precautions, the necessary steps have been taken to allow this season to successfully finish.
If I only get one bold prediction right, fingers crossed it’s this one.